Allensbach poll of 27 March 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 21 Mar 2019
- Respondents
- 1,198
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+0.5
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD12.0%-1.5
- FDP8.5%+0.5
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Feb 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,198 people were surveyed from 7 to 21 Mar 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Feb 2019, AfD loses 1.5 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Mar 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.3average 16.7
- Grüne +0.9average 18.1
- AfD -0.7average 12.7
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- FDP -0.2average 8.7
- Linke ±0average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- Grüne124
- SPD118
- AfD79
- FDP56
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD394 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.