Single poll

Allensbach poll of 21 December 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
2 to 15 Dec 2022
Respondents
1,035
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+0.5
  • SPD22.0%+2.0
  • Grüne18.0%-2.0
  • AfD12.0%-2.0
  • FDP7.5%+0.5
  • Linke4.5%+0.5
  • Others6.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Nov 2022.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,035 people were surveyed from 2 to 15 Dec 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Nov 2022, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 2.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Dec 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +2.7average 19.3
  • CDU/CSU +2.2average 27.8
  • AfD -2.1average 14.1
  • Grüne -1.1average 19.1
  • FDP +0.8average 6.7
  • Linke -0.5average 5.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 211 seatsSPD: 155 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsAfD: 84 seatsFDP: 53 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU211
  • SPD155
  • Grüne127
  • AfD84
  • FDP53
  • CDU/CSU + SPD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP335 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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