Allensbach poll of 26 January 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 18 Jan 2023
- Respondents
- 1,023
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%+2.0
- FDP6.0%-1.5
- Linke4.5%±0
- Others6.5%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Dec 2022.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,023 people were surveyed from 5 to 18 Jan 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Dec 2022, AfD gains 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Jan 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.6average 27.4
- SPD +1.4average 19.6
- Grüne -1.4average 18.4
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- AfD -0.5average 14.5
- Linke -0.5average 5.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD149
- Grüne120
- AfD99
- FDP42
- CDU/CSU + SPD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD368 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.