Allensbach poll of 15 February 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jan 2023 to 9 Feb 2023
- Respondents
- 1,088
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU30.0%-1.0
- SPD22.5%+1.5
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP7.5%+1.5
- Linke4.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Jan 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 22.5%. 1,088 people were surveyed from 27 Jan 2023 to 9 Feb 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Jan 2023, SPD gains 1.5 points, FDP gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.2 points higher and SPD 1.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Feb 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.2average 26.8
- SPD +1.9average 20.6
- Grüne -1.6average 17.6
- AfD -1.1average 15.1
- Linke -0.9average 4.9
- FDP +0.7average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- SPD158
- Grüne112
- AfD98
- FDP52
- CDU/CSU + SPD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.