Allensbach poll of 23 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 15 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,101
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD21.0%-1.5
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD15.0%+1.0
- FDP6.5%-1.0
- Linke4.5%+0.5
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 15 Feb 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,101 people were surveyed from 2 to 15 Mar 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 15 Feb 2023, SPD loses 1.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 28.9
- SPD +0.9average 20.1
- Grüne -0.9average 16.9
- Linke -0.5average 5.0
- FDP +0.1average 6.4
- AfD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- SPD148
- Grüne113
- AfD105
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + SPD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD323 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.