Single poll

Allensbach poll of 26 April 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
3 to 18 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,007
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU31.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%-1.0
  • AfD16.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%-1.0
  • FDP7.5%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%+0.5
  • Others5.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Mar 2023.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,007 people were surveyed from 3 to 18 Apr 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Mar 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 29.0
  • Grüne -1.3average 16.3
  • AfD +0.8average 15.2
  • Linke +0.7average 4.3
  • FDP +0.4average 7.1
  • SPD +0.3average 19.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 207 seatsSPD: 133 seatsAfD: 107 seatsGrüne: 100 seatsFDP: 50 seatsLinke: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU207
  • SPD133
  • AfD107
  • Grüne100
  • FDP50
  • Linke33
  • CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne414 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne340 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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