Allensbach poll of 18 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2023 to 10 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,001
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-2.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- AfD15.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%+0.5
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others6.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Apr 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,001 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2023 to 10 May 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Apr 2023, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 29.3
- AfD -0.8average 15.8
- SPD -0.6average 18.6
- FDP +0.4average 7.6
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU214
- SPD121
- Grüne107
- AfD100
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne321 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke348 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.