Allensbach poll of 29 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 22 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,039
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%+2.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 May 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,039 people were surveyed from 9 to 22 Jun 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 May 2023, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.8 points higher and AfD 2.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.8average 27.2
- AfD -2.6average 19.6
- FDP +1.4average 6.6
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne +0.4average 14.6
- SPD ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU217
- SPD133
- AfD119
- Grüne105
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + SPD350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne357 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.