Allensbach poll of 27 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 19 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,011
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 29 Jun 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,011 people were surveyed from 7 to 19 Jul 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 29 Jun 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.6 points higher and AfD 2.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.6average 26.4
- AfD -2.5average 20.5
- Grüne +1.4average 14.6
- SPD +0.8average 18.2
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD135
- AfD127
- Grüne113
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + SPD340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne375 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.