Allensbach poll of 23 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 16 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,026
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- Grüne14.0%-2.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Jul 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,026 people were surveyed from 4 to 16 Aug 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Jul 2023, Grüne loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.7 points higher and AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.7average 26.3
- AfD -1.6average 20.6
- SPD +0.9average 18.1
- Grüne -0.3average 14.3
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- SPD129
- AfD129
- Grüne95
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.