Allensbach poll of 21 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 15 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,030
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Aug 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,030 people were surveyed from 4 to 15 Sep 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.2 points higher and AfD 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.2average 26.8
- AfD -2.8average 21.8
- SPD +1.1average 16.9
- Grüne -0.4average 14.4
- FDP +0.4average 6.6
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- AfD129
- SPD122
- Grüne95
- FDP47
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD325 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.