Allensbach poll of 26 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 19 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,010
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU34.0%+4.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%
- Linke3.0%-2.0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Sep 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,010 people were surveyed from 6 to 19 Oct 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Sep 2023, CDU/CSU gains 4.0 points, FDP loses 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 4.9 points higher and AfD 2.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +4.9average 29.1
- AfD -2.8average 21.8
- SPD +1.7average 15.3
- Linke -1.6average 4.6
- Grüne -1.1average 14.1
- Freie Wähler +0.9average 3.1
- FDP -0.5average 5.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- AfD136
- SPD122
- Grüne93
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.