Allensbach poll of 23 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 16 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,047
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU32.0%-2.0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne13.5%+0.5
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Freie Wähler4.0%±0
- Linke3.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Oct 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 1 to 16 Nov 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.6 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.6average 29.4
- AfD -2.0average 21.0
- SPD +1.4average 15.6
- Freie Wähler +1.2average 2.8
- Grüne -1.1average 14.6
- Linke -0.6average 4.1
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU231
- AfD137
- SPD122
- Grüne97
- FDP43
- CDU/CSU + AfD368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne356 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.