Allensbach poll of 21 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 14 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,013
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU34.0%+2.0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.5
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke3.5%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%-1.0
- Others4.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Nov 2023.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,013 people were surveyed from 1 to 14 Dec 2023, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Nov 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.5 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 4.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 3.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -4.3average 22.3
- CDU/CSU +3.1average 30.9
- SPD +2.4average 14.6
- Grüne +1.2average 13.8
- FDP -0.2average 5.2
- Linke -0.1average 3.6
- Freie Wähler +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- AfD128
- SPD120
- Grüne106
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + AfD369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne347 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne354 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.