Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 November 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
5 to 17 Nov 2022
Respondents
1,042
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU29.5%-1.0
  • SPD20.0%+1.0
  • Grüne20.0%+1.0
  • AfD14.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others5.5%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Oct 2022.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,042 people were surveyed from 5 to 17 Nov 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 20 Oct 2022, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Nov 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.9average 27.6
  • Linke -0.9average 4.9
  • Grüne +0.8average 19.2
  • SPD +0.5average 19.5
  • FDP +0.4average 6.6
  • AfD -0.2average 14.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 205 seatsSPD: 139 seatsGrüne: 139 seatsAfD: 98 seatsFDP: 49 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU205
  • SPD139
  • Grüne139
  • AfD98
  • FDP49
  • CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD376 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP327 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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