Allensbach poll of 20 October 2022 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 Oct 2022
- Respondents
- 1,021
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU30.5%+0.5
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- AfD14.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%-0.5
- Others5.5%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Sep 2022.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.5%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,021 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 Oct 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 16 Sep 2022, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 3.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Oct 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.7average 26.8
- Grüne -0.8average 19.8
- AfD -0.5average 14.5
- SPD +0.2average 18.8
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- SPD127
- Grüne127
- AfD93
- FDP47
- Linke33
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.