Single poll

Allensbach poll of 16 September 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
1 to 14 Sep 2022
Respondents
1,030
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
  • SPD20.0%+0.5
  • Grüne19.0%-2.0
  • AfD13.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.5%+0.5
  • Others5.5%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Aug 2022.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,030 people were surveyed from 1 to 14 Sep 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Aug 2022, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.8 points higher and Grüne 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.8average 27.2
  • Grüne -1.7average 20.7
  • SPD +1.4average 18.6
  • AfD +0.1average 12.9
  • Linke +0.1average 5.4
  • FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 200 seatsSPD: 133 seatsGrüne: 126 seatsAfD: 87 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU200
  • SPD133
  • Grüne126
  • AfD87
  • FDP47
  • Linke37
  • CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke324 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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