Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 August 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
5 to 18 Aug 2022
Respondents
1,038
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+1.5
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.5%-2.5
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others5.5%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Jul 2022.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,038 people were surveyed from 5 to 18 Aug 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 27 Jul 2022, SPD loses 2.5 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Aug 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.3average 23.3
  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 26.9
  • FDP +1.0average 7.0
  • SPD +0.7average 18.8
  • Linke +0.4average 4.6
  • AfD +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 194 seatsGrüne: 140 seatsSPD: 130 seatsAfD: 80 seatsFDP: 53 seatsLinke: 33 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU194
  • Grüne140
  • SPD130
  • AfD80
  • FDP53
  • Linke33
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne334 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD324 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD350 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP327 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP323 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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