Allensbach poll of 24 June 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 12 Jun 2019
- Respondents
- 1,273
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- Grüne25.0%+8.0
- SPD12.0%-5.5
- AfD12.0%-1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%-0.5
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 May 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 1,273 people were surveyed from 1 to 12 Jun 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 May 2019, Grüne gains 8.0 points, SPD loses 5.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.5 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.5average 26.5
- SPD -2.0average 14.0
- Grüne +1.0average 24.0
- AfD -0.7average 12.7
- FDP -0.2average 8.2
- Linke -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- Grüne168
- SPD80
- AfD80
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke328 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.