Allensbach poll of 24 July 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 11 Jul 2019
- Respondents
- 1,228
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.5%+0.5
- Grüne23.0%-2.0
- SPD14.5%+2.5
- AfD11.5%-0.5
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Jun 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,228 people were surveyed from 1 to 11 Jul 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Jun 2019, SPD gains 2.5 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jul 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.5average 27.0
- AfD -1.4average 12.9
- Grüne -1.3average 24.3
- SPD +1.3average 13.2
- FDP -1.1average 8.1
- Linke +0.3average 8.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU198
- Grüne154
- SPD97
- AfD77
- Linke57
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.