Allensbach poll of 21 August 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 15 Aug 2019
- Respondents
- 1,262
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.5%±0
- Grüne24.0%+1.0
- SPD13.5%-1.0
- AfD12.5%+1.0
- Linke8.0%-0.5
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others5.5%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Jul 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.5%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,262 people were surveyed from 2 to 15 Aug 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 24 Jul 2019, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Aug 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.8average 26.7
- FDP -1.2average 8.2
- AfD -1.0average 13.5
- Grüne -0.4average 24.4
- SPD +0.4average 13.1
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- Grüne160
- SPD90
- AfD83
- Linke53
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP327 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.