Allensbach poll of 17 September 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 12 Sep 2019
- Respondents
- 1,255
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.0%-0.5
- Grüne22.0%-2.0
- SPD15.0%+1.5
- AfD14.0%+1.5
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others5.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Aug 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,255 people were surveyed from 1 to 12 Sep 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Aug 2019, Grüne loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Sep 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 27.2
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- Grüne -0.5average 22.5
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- AfD -0.1average 14.1
- FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne146
- SPD100
- AfD93
- Linke53
- FDP46
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD385 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP331 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.