Allensbach poll of 23 May 2019 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 16 May 2019
- Respondents
- 1,283
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- SPD17.5%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD13.0%+0.5
- FDP9.0%±0
- Linke8.5%+0.5
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Apr 2019.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 17.5%. 1,283 people were surveyed from 3 to 16 May 2019, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Apr 2019, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 May 2019. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.8average 18.8
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 28.9
- SPD +0.9average 16.6
- FDP +0.6average 8.4
- Linke -0.3average 8.8
- AfD ±0average 13.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- SPD116
- Grüne113
- AfD86
- FDP60
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne428 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD401 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.