Allensbach poll of 20 December 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 12 Dec 2018
- Respondents
- 1,295
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD16.5%-0.5
- AfD14.0%+0.5
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.5%-1.0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 30 Nov 2018.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,295 people were surveyed from 1 to 12 Dec 2018, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 30 Nov 2018, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Dec 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +1.6average 14.9
- Grüne -0.5average 19.5
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 29.4
- AfD -0.2average 14.2
- Linke +0.1average 8.9
- FDP ±0average 8.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne125
- SPD108
- AfD92
- Linke59
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD423 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD407 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke374 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.