Allensbach poll of 30 November 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 15 Nov 2018
- Respondents
- 1,242
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+4.0
- SPD17.0%-2.0
- AfD13.5%-1.5
- FDP9.5%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%-0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Oct 2018.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,242 people were surveyed from 2 to 15 Nov 2018, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Oct 2018, Grüne gains 4.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 2.5 points higher and Grüne 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Nov 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 14.5
- Grüne -1.9average 20.9
- AfD -1.2average 14.7
- CDU/CSU +0.7average 27.3
- FDP +0.6average 8.9
- Linke ±0average 9.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU184
- Grüne125
- SPD111
- AfD89
- FDP62
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD398 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.