Allensbach poll of 18 October 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Sep 2018 to 11 Oct 2018
- Respondents
- 1,259
- Method
- Unbekannt
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,259 people were surveyed from 28 Sep 2018 to 11 Oct 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 18 Sep 2018, CDU/CSU loses 2.5 points, Grüne gains 2.5 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 2.9 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Oct 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.9average 16.1
- CDU/CSU +2.1average 26.9
- Grüne -1.6average 16.6
- AfD -1.5average 16.5
- Linke -1.2average 10.2
- FDP -0.6average 9.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD125
- Grüne99
- AfD99
- Linke59
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + SPD317 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD390 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP347 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.