Allensbach poll of 18 September 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 Sep 2018
- Respondents
- 1,258
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.5%+0.5
- SPD19.5%-0.5
- AfD15.0%+0.5
- Grüne12.5%±0
- Linke9.0%±0
- FDP8.5%-0.5
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 15 Aug 2018.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.5%, followed by SPD on 19.5%. 1,258 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 Sep 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 15 Aug 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.4 points higher and Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Sep 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.4average 29.1
- Grüne -1.8average 14.3
- SPD +1.6average 17.9
- Linke -0.8average 9.8
- AfD -0.6average 15.6
- FDP +0.1average 8.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU207
- SPD128
- AfD98
- Grüne82
- Linke59
- FDP56
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne387 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.