Allensbach poll of 15 August 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Jul 2018 to 9 Aug 2018
- Respondents
- 1,295
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU31.0%+0.5
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD14.5%-0.5
- Grüne12.5%+0.5
- FDP9.0%-0.5
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others4.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 Jul 2018.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,295 people were surveyed from 27 Jul 2018 to 9 Aug 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 Jul 2018, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 2.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.5average 17.5
- AfD -1.4average 15.9
- Grüne -1.4average 13.9
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 30.0
- Linke -0.9average 9.9
- FDP +0.3average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU204
- SPD131
- AfD95
- Grüne82
- FDP59
- Linke59
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne381 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.