Allensbach poll of 22 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 15 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,051
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU34.0%+2.0
- SPD16.0%-0.5
- AfD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne11.5%±0
- BSW7.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%
- Others7.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Jul 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,051 people were surveyed from 3 to 15 Aug 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Jul 2024, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, BSW loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.9 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.9average 31.1
- SPD +1.2average 14.8
- BSW -1.1average 8.1
- AfD -1.0average 17.0
- Grüne -0.6average 12.1
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- SPD113
- AfD113
- Grüne81
- BSW49
- FDP35
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne320 of 630
- CDU/CSU + BSW + FDP323 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.