Single poll

Allensbach poll of 19 September 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
6 to 14 Sep 2017
Respondents
1,083
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU36.5%-2.0
  • SPD22.0%-2.0
  • FDP11.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%+2.0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • Grüne8.0%+0.5
  • Others3.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 6 Sep 2017.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.5%, followed by SPD on 22.0%. 1,083 people were surveyed from 6 to 14 Sep 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 6 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has FDP 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Sep 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.7average 9.3
  • Linke -0.7average 9.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 36.6
  • SPD -0.1average 22.1
  • AfD -0.1average 10.1
  • Grüne +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 238 seatsSPD: 144 seatsFDP: 72 seatsAfD: 65 seatsLinke: 59 seatsGrüne: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU238
  • SPD144
  • FDP72
  • AfD65
  • Linke59
  • Grüne52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + Grüne349 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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