Single poll

Allensbach poll of 25 October 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
7 to 19 Oct 2017
Respondents
1,454
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU33.0%-3.5
  • SPD20.5%-1.5
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%+2.0
  • Grüne9.5%+1.5
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others4.0%+0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Sep 2017.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 20.5%. 1,454 people were surveyed from 7 to 19 Oct 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 19 Sep 2017, CDU/CSU loses 3.5 points, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has FDP 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Oct 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.5average 10.5
  • SPD -1.1average 21.6
  • Linke -0.8average 9.8
  • AfD +0.4average 11.6
  • Grüne +0.4average 9.1
  • CDU/CSU ±0average 33.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 217 seatsSPD: 134 seatsFDP: 79 seatsAfD: 79 seatsGrüne: 62 seatsLinke: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU217
  • SPD134
  • FDP79
  • AfD79
  • Grüne62
  • Linke59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD375 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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