Single poll

Allensbach poll of 21 December 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
1 to 14 Dec 2017
Respondents
1,443
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU34.0%+1.0
  • SPD21.0%-0.5
  • Grüne11.5%+0.5
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%±0
  • Others3.5%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 30 Nov 2017.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 1 to 14 Dec 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 30 Nov 2017, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.1 points higher and AfD 1.7 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Dec 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.1average 31.9
  • AfD -1.7average 12.7
  • FDP +0.9average 9.1
  • Linke -0.7average 9.7
  • Grüne +0.5average 11.0
  • SPD -0.1average 21.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 222 seatsSPD: 137 seatsGrüne: 75 seatsAfD: 72 seatsFDP: 65 seatsLinke: 59 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU222
  • SPD137
  • Grüne75
  • AfD72
  • FDP65
  • Linke59
  • CDU/CSU + SPD359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke346 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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