Allensbach poll of 25 January 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 18 Jan 2018
- Respondents
- 1,221
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD21.0%±0
- AfD12.0%+1.0
- Grüne10.5%-1.0
- FDP10.0%±0
- Linke8.5%-0.5
- Others4.0%+0.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Dec 2017.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,221 people were surveyed from 5 to 18 Jan 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 21 Dec 2017, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has Linke 1.7 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jan 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke -1.7average 10.2
- SPD +1.6average 19.4
- AfD -1.4average 13.4
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 32.7
- FDP +1.3average 8.7
- Grüne -0.4average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU223
- SPD138
- AfD79
- Grüne69
- FDP65
- Linke56
- CDU/CSU + SPD361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke344 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.