Allensbach poll of 17 May 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Apr 2018 to 8 May 2018
- Respondents
- 1,253
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%±0
- SPD20.0%-0.5
- AfD11.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- Linke10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Others4.5%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Apr 2018.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,253 people were surveyed from 24 Apr 2018 to 8 May 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Apr 2018, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 2.8 points lower and SPD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.8average 14.3
- SPD +2.2average 17.8
- CDU/CSU +1.3average 32.7
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- FDP +0.5average 8.5
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU224
- SPD132
- AfD76
- Grüne73
- Linke66
- FDP59
- CDU/CSU + SPD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP349 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.