Allensbach poll of 20 June 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 13 Jun 2018
- Respondents
- 1,279
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU33.0%-1.0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- AfD13.0%+1.5
- Grüne11.0%±0
- FDP9.5%+0.5
- Linke9.5%-0.5
- Others3.0%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 May 2018.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 33.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,279 people were surveyed from 1 to 13 Jun 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 May 2018, AfD gains 1.5 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has SPD 3.4 points higher and AfD 1.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +3.4average 17.6
- AfD -1.9average 14.9
- CDU/CSU +1.1average 31.9
- Grüne -1.1average 12.1
- Linke -0.9average 10.4
- FDP +0.8average 8.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- SPD136
- AfD84
- Grüne71
- FDP62
- Linke62
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.