Single poll

Allensbach poll of 20 June 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
1 to 15 Jun 2017
Respondents
1,437
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU40.0%+3.0
  • SPD24.0%-2.0
  • FDP10.5%+1.5
  • Linke8.5%+0.5
  • Grüne7.0%-1.0
  • AfD6.5%-1.5
  • Others3.5%-0.5

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 May 2017.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 40.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,437 people were surveyed from 1 to 15 Jun 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 26 May 2017, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher and FDP 2.0 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Jun 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 38.0
  • FDP +2.0average 8.5
  • AfD -1.8average 8.3
  • SPD -0.4average 24.4
  • Linke -0.4average 8.9
  • Grüne -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 261 seatsSPD: 157 seatsFDP: 69 seatsLinke: 55 seatsGrüne: 46 seatsAfD: 42 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU261
  • SPD157
  • FDP69
  • Linke55
  • Grüne46
  • AfD42
  • CDU/CSU + SPD418 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP330 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke316 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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