Single poll

Allensbach poll of 26 May 2017 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
5 to 19 May 2017
Respondents
1,457
Method
Unbekannt
  • CDU/CSU37.0%+1.0
  • SPD26.0%-5.0
  • FDP9.0%+3.0
  • Grüne8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%-1.0
  • AfD8.0%+1.0
  • Others4.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Apr 2017.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by SPD on 26.0%. 1,457 people were surveyed from 5 to 19 May 2017, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Apr 2017, SPD loses 5.0 points, FDP gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 May 2017. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • FDP +1.1average 7.9
  • Grüne +1.0average 7.0
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 37.6
  • SPD -0.6average 26.6
  • Linke -0.5average 8.5
  • AfD -0.1average 8.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 243 seatsSPD: 171 seatsFDP: 59 seatsGrüne: 53 seatsLinke: 52 seatsAfD: 52 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU243
  • SPD171
  • FDP59
  • Grüne53
  • Linke52
  • AfD52
  • CDU/CSU + SPD414 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD354 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + AfD347 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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