Single poll

Allensbach poll of 11 May 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
18 to 30 Apr 2026
Respondents
1,015
Method
Persönlich
  • AfD26.0%+1.0
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne14.0%+1.0
  • SPD12.5%-1.5
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP4.5%+0.5
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 Apr 2026.

In this poll Allensbach has AfD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 25.0%. 1,015 people were surveyed from 18 to 30 Apr 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 17 Apr 2026, SPD loses 1.5 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 May 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.4average 23.6
  • AfD -0.6average 26.6
  • Linke -0.6average 10.6
  • FDP +0.6average 3.9
  • Grüne -0.3average 14.3
  • SPD -0.2average 12.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 187 seatsCDU/CSU: 180 seatsGrüne: 101 seatsSPD: 90 seatsLinke: 72 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD187
  • CDU/CSU180
  • Grüne101
  • SPD90
  • Linke72
  • AfD + CDU/CSU367 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD378 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD371 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke360 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke353 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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