Single poll

Allensbach poll of 24 June 2026 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
5 to 17 Jun 2026
Respondents
1,047
Method
Persönlich
  • AfD28.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
  • Grüne13.0%-1.0
  • SPD12.5%±0
  • Linke10.0%±0
  • FDP5.5%+1.0
  • Others7.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 11 May 2026.

In this poll Allensbach has AfD ahead on 28.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,047 people were surveyed from 5 to 17 Jun 2026, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 11 May 2026, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.7 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2026. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +1.7average 22.3
  • FDP +1.2average 4.3
  • Grüne -1.0average 14.0
  • Linke -0.9average 10.9
  • AfD +0.3average 27.7
  • SPD -0.1average 12.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

AfD: 190 seatsCDU/CSU: 162 seatsGrüne: 88 seatsSPD: 85 seatsLinke: 68 seatsFDP: 37 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • AfD190
  • CDU/CSU162
  • Grüne88
  • SPD85
  • Linke68
  • FDP37
  • AfD + CDU/CSU352 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + SPD363 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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