Allensbach poll of 22 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 15 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,053
- Method
- Persönlich
- CDU/CSU32.0%-2.0
- AfD18.0%-1.5
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%+0.5
- BSW7.0%
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Jan 2024.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,053 people were surveyed from 3 to 15 Feb 2024, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 25 Jan 2024, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.5 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 1.9 points higher and FDP 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.9average 30.1
- FDP +1.6average 4.4
- AfD -1.1average 19.1
- Grüne +0.8average 13.2
- BSW +0.7average 6.3
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU219
- AfD123
- SPD103
- Grüne96
- BSW48
- FDP41
- CDU/CSU + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.