Single poll

Allensbach poll of 27 May 2022 for the federal election

Commissioned by
Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
Fieldwork period
6 to 18 May 2022
Respondents
1,118
Method
Persönlich
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+5.0
  • SPD24.0%-4.0
  • Grüne20.5%+3.5
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.5%-1.5
  • Others5.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 13 Apr 2022.

In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 24.0%. 1,118 people were surveyed from 6 to 18 May 2022, method Persönlich, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.

Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 13 Apr 2022, CDU/CSU gains 5.0 points, SPD loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.5 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has CDU/CSU 2.0 points higher and SPD 1.5 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 May 2022. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +2.0average 27.0
  • SPD +1.5average 22.5
  • AfD -0.9average 9.9
  • Linke +0.3average 4.2
  • Grüne +0.1average 20.4
  • FDP ±0average 8.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 202 seatsSPD: 167 seatsGrüne: 142 seatsAfD: 63 seatsFDP: 56 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU202
  • SPD167
  • Grüne142
  • AfD63
  • FDP56
  • CDU/CSU + SPD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne344 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD372 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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