Allensbach poll of 21 March 2018 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 15 Mar 2018
- Respondents
- 1,256
- Method
- Unbekannt
- CDU/CSU34.0%+2.0
- SPD19.0%+1.5
- AfD12.5%-0.5
- Grüne11.0%-1.0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+0.5
- Others3.5%-1.5
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Feb 2018.
In this poll Allensbach has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,256 people were surveyed from 2 to 15 Mar 2018, method Unbekannt, commissioned by Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung.
Compared with the previous Allensbach poll of 23 Feb 2018, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.5 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Allensbach has AfD 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2018. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.5average 14.0
- CDU/CSU +1.2average 32.8
- FDP +1.2average 8.8
- SPD +0.9average 18.1
- Grüne -0.6average 11.6
- Linke -0.4average 10.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- SPD124
- AfD82
- Grüne72
- FDP65
- Linke65
- CDU/CSU + SPD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke352 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.