Civey poll of 23 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 23 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 10,087
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%±0
- Grüne22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Jun 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 10,087 people were surveyed from 16 to 23 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 16 Jun 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.3 points higher and AfD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.3average 27.7
- AfD -1.6average 10.6
- Linke -1.2average 7.2
- Grüne +1.1average 20.9
- SPD +0.7average 15.3
- FDP +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne146
- SPD106
- FDP79
- AfD60
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.