Civey poll of 16 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 10,094
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- Grüne21.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 Jun 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,094 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 9 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.1 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.1average 26.9
- AfD -2.0average 11.0
- FDP +1.2average 11.8
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- Linke -1.1average 7.1
- Grüne -0.8average 21.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU199
- Grüne139
- SPD106
- FDP86
- AfD60
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP391 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.