Single poll

Civey poll of 9 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
DER SPIEGEL
Fieldwork period
2 to 9 Jun 2021
Respondents
10,096
Method
Online
  • CDU/CSU29.0%±0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke6.0%±0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 Jun 2021.

In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 10,096 people were surveyed from 2 to 9 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.

Compared with the previous Civey poll of 2 Jun 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.4 points higher and Grüne 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU +3.4average 25.6
  • Grüne -2.1average 23.1
  • SPD +1.2average 14.8
  • Linke -1.1average 7.1
  • AfD -0.9average 10.9
  • FDP +0.1average 11.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 195 seatsGrüne: 141 seatsSPD: 107 seatsFDP: 80 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU195
  • Grüne141
  • SPD107
  • FDP80
  • AfD67
  • Linke40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne336 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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