Civey poll of 2 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 26 May 2021 to 2 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 10,015
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
- Grüne22.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 May 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 10,015 people were surveyed from 26 May 2021 to 2 Jun 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 3.7 points higher and Grüne 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +3.7average 25.3
- Grüne -1.5average 23.5
- SPD +1.3average 14.7
- AfD -1.0average 11.0
- Linke -1.0average 7.0
- FDP +0.2average 11.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne146
- SPD106
- FDP80
- AfD66
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP378 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD338 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.