Civey poll of 26 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 May 2021
- Respondents
- 10,016
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others5.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 May 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 10,016 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 19 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 1.8 points higher and FDP 1.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +1.8average 25.2
- FDP +1.8average 11.2
- Grüne -1.4average 24.4
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- Linke -1.0average 7.0
- AfD -0.8average 10.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU179
- Grüne153
- SPD106
- FDP86
- AfD66
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD351 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD331 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.