Civey poll of 19 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 19 May 2021
- Respondents
- 10,050
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- Grüne23.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 May 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 10,050 people were surveyed from 12 to 19 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 12 May 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 24.6
- Linke -1.1average 7.1
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 25.1
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- FDP +0.9average 11.1
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne156
- SPD108
- FDP81
- AfD68
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.