Single poll
Civey poll of 12 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 12 May 2021
- Respondents
- 10,003
- Method
- Online
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 10,003 people were surveyed from 5 to 12 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 5 May 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has CDU/CSU 2.2 points higher.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +2.2average 24.8
- Linke -1.1average 7.1
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- Grüne -0.7average 24.7
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- FDP ±0average 11.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne161
- SPD107
- FDP74
- AfD67
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More
More polls
← Civey, 5 May 2021Civey, 19 May 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.