Civey poll of 5 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- DER SPIEGEL
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Apr 2021 to 5 May 2021
- Respondents
- 10,028
- Method
- Online
- CDU/CSU27.0%+3.0
- Grüne25.0%-4.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Apr 2021.
In this poll Civey has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 25.0%. 10,028 people were surveyed from 28 Apr 2021 to 5 May 2021, method Online, commissioned by DER SPIEGEL.
Compared with the previous Civey poll of 26 Apr 2021, Grüne loses 4.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 3.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Civey has AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 10.7
- Grüne +1.2average 23.8
- Linke -1.2average 7.2
- CDU/CSU +1.0average 26.0
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- FDP +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne169
- SPD102
- FDP74
- AfD61
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD346 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.